empty
 
 
12.02.2019 07:57 AM
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for February 12, 2019

GBP/USD dropped below 1.2930 area under impulsive bearish pressure recently which changed the bias to bearish, aiming for further bearish momentum. The UK GDP showed a slowdown in the domestic economy in the final quarter of 2018. Besides, the BREXIT pressure is still going on that is certainly bearish for GBP in the medium term.

British Finance Minister Hammond's expressed an optimistic approach to turn the country's budget deficit to surplus by 2020. However, his optimism is currently fading away as he relaxed his grip on public spending last year. Recently UK GDP report revealed that economic growth contracted to -0.4% in December month-on-month from the previous 0.2% gain which was expected to be at 0.0%, Manufacturing Production decreased to -0.7% from the previous value of -0.1% which was expected to increase to 0.2%, Prelim GDP eased to 0.2% in Q4 2018 from the previous value of 0.6% which was expected to be at 0.3%, and Prelim Business Investments also decreased to -1.4% from the previous value of -1.1% which was expected to be at -1.3%. Additionally, UK Prime Minister Theresa May is currently looking for more BREXIT talks with the EU but the eurozone negotiator is not really falling for May's proposal. So, there is a growing likelihood of No Deal BREXIT on March 29th.

On the other hand, recently Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman stated the US economy is on a sound footing and the ongoing monetary policy is likely to spur economic growth. The US congressional negotiators reached a tentative deal to avert another partial government shutdown on Friday as it is eroding the overall economic growth if no proper measures are taken in due time. Today FED Chair Powell is going to speak about the upcoming policies and steps of monetary tightening. His comments are expected to have a positive impact on USD gains in the coming days.

Meanwhile, USD is the dominant currency in the pair which is being supported by the optimistic FED and downbeat economic reports from the UK. Until the UK comes up with better economic data and fundamentals which is highly unlikely at present, GBP is set to lose more steam.

Now let us look at the technical view. The price is currently trading below 1.2930 area with an impulsive bearish daily close from where it is expected to retrace and retest in the coming days before pushing much lower in the future. As the price remains below 1.30 area with a daily close, the bearish bias is expected to continue further.

SUPPORT: 1.2500, 1.2700-50

RESISTANCE: 1.2930, 1.30

BIAS: BEARISH

MOMENTUM: VOLATILE

This image is no longer relevant

Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $1000 más!
    ¡En Abril, sorteamos $1000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback